This paper investigates systemic risk measures for stochastic financial networks of explicitly modelled bilateral liabilities. We extend the notion of systemic risk measures from Biagini, Fouque, Fritelli and Meyer-Brandis (2019) to graph structured data. In particular, we focus on an aggregation function that is derived from a market clearing algorithm proposed by Eisenberg and Noe (2001). In this setting, we show the existence of an optimal random allocation that distributes the overall minimal bailout capital and secures the network. We study numerical methods for the approximation of systemic risk and optimal random allocations. We propose to use permutation equivariant architectures of neural networks like graph neural networks (GNNs) and a class that we name (extended) permutation equivariant neural networks ((X)PENNs). We compare their performance to several benchmark allocations. The main feature of GNNs and (X)PENNs is that they are permutation equivariant with respect to the underlying graph data. In numerical experiments we find evidence that these permutation equivariant methods are superior to other approaches.

In this work we propose deep learning-based algorithms for the computation of systemic shortfall risk measures defined via multivariate utility functions. We discuss the key related theoretical aspects, with a particular focus on the fairness properties of primal optima and associated risk allocations. The algorithms we provide allow for learning primal optimizers, optima for the dual representation and corresponding fair risk allocations. We test our algorithms by comparison to a benchmark model, based on a paired exponential utility function, for which we can provide explicit formulas. We also show evidence of convergence in a case for which explicit formulas are not available.

This paper introduces a formulation of the optimal network compression problem for financial systems. This general formulation is presented for different levels of network compression or rerouting allowed from the initial interbank network. We prove that this problem is, generically, NP-hard. We focus on objective functions generated by systemic risk measures under shocks to the financial network. We use this framework to study the (sub)optimality of the maximally compressed network. We conclude by studying the optimal compression problem for specific networks; this permits us to study, e.g., the so-called robust fragility of certain network topologies more generally as well as the potential benefits and costs of network compression. In particular, under systematic shocks and heterogeneous financial networks the robust fragility results of Acemoglu et al. (2015) no longer hold generally.